Kosten van het niet behalen van de 2030-doelen voor duurzame opwekking en besparing

EEM HUB NL shares this Ecorys report (commissioned by NVDE, 9 Dec 2025) on the costs of the Netherlands not meeting its 2030 EU targets for renewable energy generation and final energy savings. The study, based on PBL’s Climate and Energy Outlook (KEV), concludes that under current policy the Netherlands is not on track: renewables are projected at 32% in 2030 vs an indicative 39% contribution, leaving a 124 PJ gap in 2030, while energy savings also fall short with a 107 PJ gap in 2030. 

For renewables, the report highlights “statistical transfers” (buying renewable volumes administratively from other EU Member States) as a practical backstop, with estimated costs of roughly €0.5–€1.1bn in 2030 and €1.1–€2.6bn cumulative over 2030–2034, depending on price scenarios and scarcity. 

For energy savings, the key message is that there is no comparable EU transfer mechanism, meaning persistent shortfalls could expose the Netherlands to an EU infringement procedure if targets are not met. 

Ecorys-Kosten-niet-behalen-2030-doelen-voor-duurzame-opwek-en-besparing.pdf

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